Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 3.381222 4.016196 4.703450 5.498569 6.389057 7.351620 8.466667
2025-12-14 2.271117 3.057695 3.984935 5.142352 6.531589 8.128885 10.086922
2025-12-21 1.566014 2.395048 3.458005 4.882110 6.699832 8.902367 11.730325
2025-12-28 1.250371 2.143569 3.375337 5.124857 7.469281 10.426188 14.355350
2026-01-04 1.046010 1.994170 3.390647 5.476955 8.388774 12.182921 17.363996
2026-01-11 0.874264 1.850455 3.381602 5.778067 9.246522 13.896174 20.395309
2026-01-18 0.686920 1.632969 3.220943 5.829260 9.745074 15.143382 22.861255
2026-01-25 0.505758 1.374279 2.946294 5.664951 9.904161 15.916268 24.707014
2026-02-01 0.374161 1.168500 2.719095 5.536854 10.088758 16.713399 26.597073
2026-02-08 0.275461 0.996856 2.517559 5.417870 10.262993 17.485859 28.462853
2026-02-15 0.206009 0.866210 2.366343 5.360149 10.517045 18.372017 30.506060
2026-02-22 0.175682 0.827095 2.390064 5.610144 11.274730 20.029624 33.702338
2026-03-01 0.132605 0.733167 2.285472 5.621248 11.651710 21.147394 36.183606
2026-03-08 0.084914 0.592447 2.044820 5.343038 11.516826 21.467908 37.497408
2026-03-15 0.053568 0.483355 1.849073 5.123151 11.458376 21.894971 38.974163
2026-03-22 0.045334 0.470336 1.895264 5.403951 12.302881 23.787040 42.721319
2026-03-29 0.040874 0.473933 1.986906 5.788134 13.351817 26.039515 47.072875
2026-04-05 0.035402 0.467553 2.049248 6.112810 14.304780 28.161699 51.270031
2026-04-12 0.025766 0.424011 1.994535 6.172735 14.767100 29.491413 54.268373
2026-04-19 0.015527 0.356315 1.847467 6.005060 14.786694 30.083506 56.124333
2026-04-26 0.009051 0.301661 1.723742 5.873476 14.861582 30.762843 58.125420
2026-05-03 0.004944 0.255081 1.610679 5.750424 14.939651 31.441571 60.131045
2026-05-10 0.002655 0.220261 1.527906 5.690831 15.136894 32.325901 62.480701